Seth: Write your stuff here.
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Modifying the forecast cloud-cover values made very little difference.
Longer obs-history makes almost no difference.
Colder air-T obs make the forecast only slightly colder.
Colder air-T and road-T obs make the forecast quite a bit colder...
The road-T obs in the obs-history have a much bigger influence on the forecast than any of the other variables.
This indicates that having real road-T obs in the obs-history is important...and you can produce better forecasts if you have recent road-T obs in the obs-history.